Ratings agencies could wreck Greek rescue by declaring it a default

Financial markets are braced for renewed turmoil this week amid growing doubts about the complex rescue plan for the debt-burdened Greek economy.

Analysts are increasingly questioning the French and German governments' plan for holders of Greek bonds to swap them for new loans as part of a fresh aid package.

The Greek prime minister, George Papandreou, met his side of the rescue bargain last week by winning MPs' approval for radical new austerity measures, including €50bn of privatisations, public sector wage cuts and widespread civil service job losses. But eurozone ministers have so far failed to agree details of a new rescue, expected to be up to €110bn.

The debt-swap proposal, which French and German banks have agreed to, involves offering new 30-year loans in exchange for expiring bonds, to meet Germany's demand that investors bear some of the costs of a new Greek bailout.

But analysts say it is likely that ratings agencies could still brand the plan a default. That would trigger chaos in world markets, as investors were forced to slash the value of their Greek debts - and could also lead to Portugal and Ireland, the other bailed-out eurozone states, having their debts downgraded.

Source and full story: The Observer, 3 July 2011

Submitted by Sullivan on Mon, 2011-07-04 11:03

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Would these be the same ratings agencies who gave junk mortgage-backed securities triple A ratings?  If so, their opinion and ratings shouldn't be worth a damn.

Sullivan | Mon, 2011-07-04 11:04

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