OIL prices aren't rising - the US dollar is plummeting!

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I don't like cursing. But, this is f*cking ridiculous.

Oil traders increased BETS that December futures will reach $125 a barrel because of possible disruptions to Middle East supplies and rising demand.

Here we are (us, Americans), day after day, listening to the media tell us all about how "traders" are "trading" oil at ever higher prices because they're a-scared of this shortage or that disruption, or this crisis, or that air strike.

And all the while we watch anxiously, preparing to cut back on our gasoline or dish out more dollars for our commutes.

Well, I have news for you.

When someone "BETS" that something is or is not going to happen and then, based on that bet, buys or sells IOUs for other people's tangible goods, they're not "traders," they're f*cking bookies.

They call themselves "traders" because they want to be admired, not despised.

But, two-bit bookies is all they are.

Didn't any of you see the movie "Trading Places" with Eddie Murphy and Dan Akroyd??? Billy Ray will tell you!

We pay higher prices not because of REAL crises or REAL shortages but BECAUSE of IMAGINED shortages, and ANTICIPATED disruptions, many of which NEVER HAPPEN.

In short, we PAY for their rampant hysteria and insatiable GREED.

Traders held call options to buy 2,526 contracts, each representing the right to buy 1,000 barrels, of December oil at $125 in New York as of Oct. 29, from 1 lot on June 29, New York Mercantile Exchange data show. BETS on $100 oil are also surging: Traders held options to buy 49.7 million barrels of December oil at that price on Oct. 30, up from 30 million barrels on Jan. 2.

Crude oil for December delivery rose to a record $96.24 a barrel in New York today, the highest since the futures began trading in 1983. Prices have soared 19 percent the past month as demand pared inventories, a weaker dollar spurred investors to switch into commodities, and political tension in Iran and Iraq attracted speculative buying.

"A few years ago, when triple-digit oil was talked about, it was tempered by negative responses," said Anthony Nunan, deputy general manager of risk management at Mitsubishi Corp. in Tokyo. "Slowly, it's becoming a reality. It's not crazy anymore, it's a reasonable target."

The fact is, these insane spikes in the price of oil have far less to do with supply and demand of OIL than they have to do with the supply and demand of DOLLARS.

With the dollar plummeting down to the pits of hell, people are dumping it left and right.

All that money has to go somewhere - after all, MONEY WAS NOT MADE TO STORE UNDER YOUR COUCH!

These traders know that! So, instead of storing it under their couch, where it just sits there without "appreciating," they "store" it by "buying" something of value (anything but the dollar, which is worthless).

Since the real estate market is officially DEAD and BURIED (because people can defer buying a house), they choose to "invest" their "money" in the types of commodities that they know that people CANNOT LIVE WITHOUT - thus, oil (and food) is perfect (last I checked a gallon of milk was $4).

So, that's what it all boils down to - the price of oil is skyrocketing not because oil is getting more "expensive," but because the dollar is becoming WORTHLESS.

Next time someone tries to convince you that they're "traders," tell them you know better.

They're f*cking bookies and it's not the oil, it's the funny money.

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Just found this interview with the author of Gold Trading Boot Camp. It has a scene from Trading Places in it. Not the scene I wanted - but, it's instructive nevertheless.

Fast forward to 3:50 - straight from the horse's mouth - "liquidity is what's driving these markets."

It has little if anything to do with real value - funny money runs - and ruins - our lives.

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Submitted by qrswave on Thu, 2007-11-01 21:28

In 1960 I made $40 dollars a week. I paid 10% in taxes and brought home $36.00. For that dollar an hour (min wage) I could buy one oz of silver or five gallons of Gas. Today, the min wage would have to be $20.00 an hour and would buy one oz of silver or five gallons of gas. Inflation will help you pay for your house, but also robs your savings, undermines the working class and causes everyone to pay more taxes.
http://amalek-amalek.blogspot.com/

Amalek | Tue, 2008-03-04 09:05

you answered the question I had perfectly.
" In this part of the world, where we pay for our petrol (what you guys call gas) in euros, the price hasn't changed much and if anything it has gone down slightly. "

Sullivan | Fri, 2007-11-02 15:52

I don't consider these people " traders " but, rather.... traitors.

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To Jesus Through Mary

Jesse | Thu, 2008-01-31 09:03

Is a ton of "Buzz Kill" persona having the last laugh Like Jim here.

__Start__

The Last Days of the United States Dollar


James Howard Kunstler
November 27, 2007

Author of The Long Emergency
Kunstler.com

kunstler@aol.com

The great debate among those of us on the Economy Deathwatch seems to be whether the debacle we observe around us will resolve as a crash or a slow-motion financial train wreck. It seems to me that at every layer of the system, we're susceptible to both -- in tradable paper, institutional legitimacy, individual solvency, productive activity, real employment, "consumer" behavior, and energy resources. Some things are crashing as I write.

The dollar is losing about a cent every three weeks against other currencies. A penny doesn't seem like much, but keep that pace up for another year and the world's "reserve currency" becomes the world's reserve toilet paper. Oil prices are poised to enter the triple-digit realm, the psychological effect of which may be jarring to 200 million not-so-happy motorists. The value of chipboard-and-vinyl houses is tanking beyond question. Of course, the government's consumer price inflation figures and employment numbers are dismissed broadly as lacking credence. But anybody who has bought a bag of onions and a jar of jam lately knows that things are way up in the supermarket aisles, and so many illegal Mexican migrants were employed in the Sunbelt housing boom, that their absence in the bust won't register on any chart.

It's hard to describe what constitutes the bulk of the stuff moving through the world's financial markets for the simple reason that it was purposely-designed to be so abstruse and provisional that traders would be too intimidated to ask what it represents -- and the growing terrified suspicion is that it's mostly worthless. By this I refer to the global freak show of derivatives, concocted "plays" on hypothetical "positions," credit default swaps, arbitrages in imagined "differentials," nifty equations, hedges, promises, algorithms executed by robots, and "off-book" wishes chartered in the Cayman Islands. Probably all of them, in one way or another, are just scams, since they are unaffiliated with productive activity.

At a more fundamental level, these mutant "investments" were derived from a very tangible trade in loans and mortgages made to flesh-and-blood chumps, but even those are only the last in a long spiral of serial "bubbles," or market frenzies based on unreal expectations. And this leads into the very real realm of poor choices, fiscal and fiduciary irresponsibility, deliberately deceptive policy, criminal malfeasance, and the broad abandonment of standards in acceptable behavior by people in authority. A lot of observers attribute this to the Gordon Gecko ethos -- the discovery back in the 1980s that "greed is good," which was meant to trump a previous ethos that life is tragic.

Anyway, the trade in mutant investment entities appears to be collapsing now as their worthlessness in market terms (as opposed to theoretical terms) becomes manifest. The major holders of this dreck are losing the ability to conceal their losses, but suspicion now reigns that the losses are far greater than even the massive multiple billions reported so far by the likes of Merrill Lynch, Citicorp, and others. I suppose that what we've been seeing lately is a desperate attempt to hold things together just long enough to cut those Christmas bonus checks so that when the pink slips do finally fly in 2008, at least some Big Boyz will walk away with enough cash to cover a hacienda in Uruguay and the salaries of a half-dozen private security goons to guard it.

But I must say, at the risk once again of sounding extreme, that the structural and systemic sickness in the finance realm is now so severe that it is hard to imagine we will get through the month of December without some major trauma in the markets. In fact, I'd go so far as to predict a thousand-point drop (or more) in the Dow just in this week after Thanksgiving. Real wealth "out there" is evaporating like popsicles dropped on the floor of Hell's fifth circle. It is coming out of the system whether the Big Boyz or anybody else likes it or not, and its absence will assert itself.

At the risk of sounding even more extreme, I would be hard put to believe any reports that "consumer" spending in the days following Thanksgiving will match the hopes and wishes of economic officialdom. My own hunch is that average Americans are so maxed out on debt that they don't know whether to shit or go blind. Perhaps lot of them are willing to take a last step into fatal insolvency in order to put a plasma TV screen under the Christmas tree and appear as heroes to their families. If that's the case, it would only imply a greater bloodbath in credit card default thundering through the system in February and March, which would only deepen the carnage in collateralized debt instruments further up the food chain.

That stuff probably has a long way to unwind, even as the "train" of losses hits the immovable obstacle of reality and the "boxcars" of consequence fly off the rails. The slow-motion train wreck could sweep away an awful lot of familiar things in its path -- banks, companies, government-sponsored enterprises, whole industries, whole economies, nations, up to and including the prospects for civilized existence, if severe hardship leads to war, which it often does.

To some extent, the speed and severity of the financial train wreck will occur in a mutually reinforcing relation to what happens in the oil markets. The rise in price is only the mildest symptom of growing instability for the system that allocates the world's most critical resource. Even in the face of "demand destruction," weird changes are occurring in the way that the oil producers do business. The decline in export rates and the new spirit of "oil nationalism" will take center stage now, even if the US economy seizes up. These phenomena will represent a new cycle in world affairs: the global contest for remaining fossil fuel resources.

Sooner rather than later, the next symptom will appear: spot shortages around the US and hoarding behavior. This is what will finally wake the American public out of its long sleepwalk (and Matthew Simmons said this first, by the way) -- when the lines form at the gas stations and the tempers flare and the handguns come out of the glove compartments.
In the financial markets and the economies of nations, it's not a case of either / or. It's a matter of either / and.

James Howard Kunstler
November 27, 2007

Author of The Long Emergency
Kunstler.com

Jim Kunstler is the author of The Long Emergency, The Geography of Nowhere and many other books. He lives in upstate New York.
___End___

First you take D.C. Then you take New York (:

Masher1 | Mon, 2007-12-03 20:32

The Truth Will Set You Free on the falling value of the U.S. Dollar and the rising price of crude oil.

Islam and the west - opinions of a Kashmiri Nomad

k_nomad | Sun, 2007-11-18 14:27

Excellent points. Well done.

maggieporter | Wed, 2007-11-14 10:06

Truth Seeker--Great info!!! Ya I agree because truth is there is more oil now than ever and most of it is untapped..Why??? because oil replenishes itself with the help of certain tools..Basically as long as the earth exists there will be oil.. The oil gang must be stopped before it's too late.. A vote for Ron Paul will help, because he would expose the creatures (banking criminals) from jeckyl island and repeal the Federel reserve act and abolish the IRS...Then put all them f&%^ers in prison then publicly execute...

Truth Seeker07 | Wed, 2007-11-07 20:36

ROCK ON! Excellent perception QRS!

_________________
"Hey you, Whitehouse. Ha ha,.. charade you are" Pigs/Animals/Pink Floyd

Peacetroll | Fri, 2007-11-02 12:00

Claims that the price of oil are rising are no more than a slight of hand on the part of both the financial institutions and the oil companies - a distraction designed to divert attention away from the fact that the value of the dollar is plummeting like a stone.

Every excuse in the world is used to explain the apparent increase in the price of oil but the real reason is never disclosed.

In this part of the world, where we pay for our petrol (what you guys call gas) in euros, the price hasn't changed much and if anything it has gone down slightly.

Sullivan | Fri, 2007-11-02 10:52

The self-centered greediness of Wall Street will backfire and drive many traders, er, bookies to suicide by jumping out of window like 1929 crash.

They thought they have America by the balls, but it will come back to bite them where it hurts.

Average Americans should know that Wall Street brokers and bookies who participate in perpetrating the fraud of the Federal Reserve and upholding Dollar hegemony are fundamentally anti-American in screwing respectable values and ethics over in the name of avarice and luxury. They deserve to die by their own hands when the "rape, pillage and plunder by monetary trade" plan blow up in their face.

Nepos Libertas | Fri, 2007-11-02 07:50